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Delhi Assembly Poll 2015 -- Perceptual Survey

Thursday, 05 February 2015 01:06

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This exercise illustrates the perception among the residents/frequent visitors to all the 70 constituencies of Delhi, which go to polls on 7 February 2015. The exercise doesn’t undertake to suggest clear winners or losers but certainly suggests what the buzz on the seat is. And if we collate the buzz across the 70 constituencies, the findings are quite contrary to what the surveys by the television channels are suggesting. There are clear indications that pitched battle is being fought between the BJP and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) for every seat, wherein the Congress too has made pumped in all its energy to make the battle three-way in about 25 seats. This makes the situation very complex and it could be anybody’s game in the next 48 hours. On the evening of 4 February 2015, the situation stood as under:

Seats	Adv BJP	Adv AAP	Adv Cong	Close fight	Triangular fight	Multi-corner
70	15	16	05	18	14	02

The detailed constituency wise perception 48 hours before polling:

AC	Name	BJP	Congress	AAP	Remark
1	Narela	Neel Dhaman Kharti	Praveen k Bhugra	Sharad Kumar	CLOSE
2	Burari	Gopal Jha	Jile S Chauhan	Sanjeev Jha	Advantage AAP
3	Timarpur	Rajni Abbi	SPS Bittu	Pankaj Pushkar	CLOSE
4	Adarsh Nagar	Ramkishan Singhal	Mukesh Goel	Pawan Sharma	Advantage BJP
5	Badli	Rajesh Yadav	Devendra Yadav	Aajesh Yadav	Advantage CONG
6	Rithala	Kulwant Rana	Jagdish Yadav	Mahendra Goel	Advantage BJP
7	Bawana	Gugan Singh Ranga	Surendra Kumar	Ved Prakash	Triangular
8	Mundaka	Azad Singh	Rita Shokeen	Rajendra Dabas	CLOSE
9	Kirari	Anil Jha	Pratyush Kant	Rituraj Jha	CLOSE
10	Sultanpur Majra	Prabhu Datal Sai	Jaikishan	Sanddep Kumar	Advantage Cong
11	Nangloi Jat	Manoj Shokeen	Vijendra Singh	Raghvendra Shokeen	Advantage BJP
12	Mangolpuri	Surjijeet Kumar	RK Chauhan	Rakhi Birla	CLOSE (CvsA)
13	Rohini	Vijyendra Gupta	Sukhbeer Sharma	CL Gupta	Advantage BJP
14	Shalimar Bagh	Rekha Gupta	Sulekh Aggarwal	Vandana Kumari Jha	Advantage AAP
15	Shakur Basti	SC Vats	Chaman Lal Sharma	Satyendra Jain	Advantage AAP
16	Trinagar	Nand Kishore Garg	Anil Bhardwaj	Jitendra Singh Tomar	CLOSE
17	Wazirpur	Mahendra Nagpal	Harishanker Gupta	Rajesh Gupta	Advantage BJP
18	Model Town	Vivek Garg	Kanwar Karan Singh	Akhilesh Pati Tripathi	Advantage AAP
19	Sadar Bazar	Praveen Jain	Ajay Maken	Somdutt	Advantage Cong
20	Chandani Chowk	Suman K Gupta	Prahlad Singh Sahni	Alka Lamba	Triangular
21	Matia Mahal	S Anjum Dahalvi	Shoeb Iqbal	Aasim	Advantage Cong
22	Ballimaran	Shamlal Morwal	Harun Yusuf	Imran	Advantage Cong
23	Karol Bagh	Yogendra Chandolia	Madan Khorwal	Vishesh Ravi	CLOSE
24	Patel Nagar	Krishna Tirath	Rajesh Lilothia	Hazari Lal Chauhan	CLOSE
25	Moti Nagar	Shubhash Sachdeva	RK Maggo	Charan Goel	Advantage BJP
26	Madipur	Rajkumar Fulwaria	Malaram Gangwar	Girish Soni	Advantage AAP
27	Rajouri Garden	Akali Dal	Minakshi Chandela	Jarnail Singh	CLOSE
28	Hari Nagar	Akali Dal	CP Mittal	Jagdeep Singh	Advantage AAP
29	Tilak Nagar	Rajiv Babbar	Duli Chand Lohia	Jarnail Singh	Advantage AAP
30	Janak Puri	Jagdish Mukhi	Suresh Kumar	Rajesh Rishi	CLOSE
31	Vikas Puri	Sanjay Singh	Nand Kishore	Mahendra Yadav	Advantage AAP
32	Uttam Nagar	Pawan Sharma	Mukesh Sharma	Naresh Balyan	CLOSE
33	Dwarka	Praduman Rajput	Mahabal Mishra	Adarsh Shastri	Triangular
34	Matiala	Rajesh Gehlot	Sumesh Shokeen	Gulab Singh	Triangular
35	Najafgarh	Ajit Singh K	Jaikishan Sharma	Kailash Gehlot	MULTI CORNER (INLD)
36	Bijwasan	Satyaprakash Rana	Vijay S Lochav	Col D Sehrawat	Advantage BJP
37	Palam	Dharmadev Solanki	Madan Mohan Dass	Bhawna Gaur	Advantage BJP
38	Delhi Cantt.	Karan Singh Tanwar	Sandeep Tanwar	Commando Surender	Advantage BJP
39	Rajender Nagar	RP Singh	Brahm Yadav	Vijay Garg	Triangular
40	New Delhi	Nupur Sharma	Kiran Walia	Arvind Kejriwal	Advantage AAP
41	Jangpura	MS Dheer	TS Marwah	Praveen Deshmukh	Advantage BJP
42	Kasturba Nagar	Ravindra Chaudhary	Neeraj Basoya	Madan Lal	Advantage AAP
43	Malviya Nagar	Nandini Sharma	Yoganand Shashtri	Somnath Bharti	Advantage AAP
44	RK Puram	Anil Sharma	Leeladhar Bhatt	Pramila Tokas	CLOSE
45	Mehrauli	Sarita Chaudhary	Satbeer Singh	Govardhan Singh	Advantage AAP
46	Chhatarpur	Brahm Singh Tanwar	Balram Tanwar	Kartar Singh	CLOSE
47	Deoli	Arvind Kumar	Rajesh chauhan	Prakash	CLOSE
48	Ambedkar Nagar	Ashok Chauhan	Prem Singh	Ajay Dutt	Advantage AAP
49	Sangam Vihar	SCL Gupta	Vishnu S Aggarwal	Dinesh Mohania	Advantage AAP
50	Greater Kailash	Gulia	Sharmishtha Mukherjee	Saurabh Bhardwaj	Advantage AAP
51	Kalkaji	Akali Dal	Subhash Chopra	Avtar Singh	Triangular
52	Tughlakabad	Vikram Bidhuri	Sachin Bidhuri	Sahi Ram	Advantage BJP
53	Badarpur	Ramveer Singh Bidhuri	Ram Singh Netaji	ND Sharma	Triangular
54	Okhla	Brahm S bidhuri	Asif MD Khan	Amanatullah	Triangular
55	Trilokpuri	Kiran Vaidhya	Brham Pal	Raju Dhingan	Triangular
56	Kondli	Hukum Singh	Amrish Gautam	Manoj Kumar	CLOSE (CvsA)
57	Patpar Ganj	Vinod Binny	Anil Chaudhary	Manish Shishodia	Triangular
58	Laxmi Nagar	BB Tyagi	AK Walia	Nitin Tyagi	Triangular
59	Viswas Nagar	OP Sharma	Naseeb Singh	Atul Gupta	Triangular
60	Krishna Nagar	Kiran Bedi	Bansi Lal	SK Bagga	Advantage BJP
61	Gandhi Nagar	Jitendra Chaudhary	Prakash Sharma	Anil Bajjpai	Advantage AAP
62	Shahdra	Akali Dal	Narendra Nath	Ram Nivas Goel	CLOSE
63	Seemapuri	Karamveer Chandel	Veer S Dhingan	Rajendra Gautam	CLOSE (CvsA)
64	Rohtash Nagar	Jitendra Mahajan	Vipin Sharma	Sarita Singh	Advantage BJP
65	Seelampur	Sanjay Jain	Mateen Ahmed	Hazi Ishraq	Advantage Cong
66	Ghonda	Saheb S Chauhan	Bheeshm Sharma	SD Sharma	Advantage BJP
67	Babarpur	Naresh Gaur	Zaqir Khan	Gopal Rai	Triangular
68	Gokalpur	Ranjeet Kashyap	Rinku	Fateh Singh	MULTI CORNER (BSP)
69	Mustafabad	Jagdish Pradhan	Hasan Ahmed	Hazi Yunus	Triangular
70	Karawal Nagar	Mohan Singh Bisht	Satyapal Dyma	Kapil Mishra	CLOSE